So here goes. Take it with a pinch of salt if you want. But here are my predictions for the number of seats BJP will get in the upcoming 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
UP was the obvious reason why they came to power in 2014 and I don't think its possible to repeat that feat (Wow! if they do). But that reduction will be more than made up from West Bengal.
I also see reduction in Bihar (due to seat sharing), Gujarat and Rajasthan. On the other hand, Maharashtra, Odisha and Andhra could rise along with a big swing across the NE states.
I predict a 300+ for BJP in the elections. Lets see how correct I am on the 23rd of May!
UP was the obvious reason why they came to power in 2014 and I don't think its possible to repeat that feat (Wow! if they do). But that reduction will be more than made up from West Bengal.
I also see reduction in Bihar (due to seat sharing), Gujarat and Rajasthan. On the other hand, Maharashtra, Odisha and Andhra could rise along with a big swing across the NE states.
I predict a 300+ for BJP in the elections. Lets see how correct I am on the 23rd of May!
| Total Seats | BJP - 2014 | BJP - 2019 | |
| Andaman & Nicobar | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Andhra Pradesh | 25 | 2 | 10 |
| Arunachal Pradesh | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Assam | 14 | 7 | 8 |
| Bihar | 40 | 22 | 17 |
| Chandigarh | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Chhattisgarh | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Dadar & Nagar Haveli | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Daman & diu | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Delhi | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| Goa | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Gujarat | 26 | 26 | 20 |
| Haryana | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| Himachal Pradesh | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Jammu & Kashmir | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Jharkhand | 14 | 12 | 10 |
| Karnataka | 28 | 17 | 20 |
| Kerala | 20 | 2 | |
| Lakshadweep | 1 | 1 | |
| Madhya Pradesh | 29 | 27 | 25 |
| Maharashtra | 48 | 23 | 30 |
| Manipur | 2 | 1 | |
| Meghalaya | 2 | 1 | |
| Mizoram | 1 | ||
| Nagaland | 1 | ||
| Odisha | 21 | 1 | 12 |
| Puducherry | 1 | 0 | |
| Punjab | 13 | 2 | 5 |
| Rajasthan | 25 | 25 | 15 |
| Sikkim | 1 | 1 | |
| Tamil Nadu | 39 | 1 | 4 |
| Telangana | 17 | 1 | 5 |
| Tripura | 2 | 2 | |
| Uttar Pradesh | 80 | 71 | 60 |
| Uttarakhand | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| West Bengal | 42 | 2 | 18 |
| TOTAL | 543 | 282 | 310 |