Thursday, April 4, 2019

My predictions for 2019 LS elections

So here goes. Take it with a pinch of salt if you want. But here are my predictions for the number of seats BJP will get in the upcoming 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

UP was the obvious reason why they came to power in 2014 and I don't think its possible to repeat that feat (Wow! if they do). But that reduction will be more than made up from West Bengal.

I also see reduction in Bihar (due to seat sharing), Gujarat and Rajasthan. On the other hand, Maharashtra, Odisha and Andhra could rise along with a big swing across the NE states.

I predict a 300+ for BJP in the elections. Lets see how correct I am on the 23rd of May!

  Total Seats BJP - 2014 BJP - 2019
Andaman & Nicobar 1 1 1
Andhra Pradesh 25 2 10
Arunachal Pradesh 2 1 1
Assam 14 7 8
Bihar 40 22 17
Chandigarh 1 1 1
Chhattisgarh 11 10 10
Dadar & Nagar Haveli 1 1 1
Daman & diu 1 1 1
Delhi 7 7 6
Goa 2 2 2
Gujarat 26 26 20
Haryana 10 7 7
Himachal Pradesh 4 4 4
Jammu & Kashmir 6 3 4
Jharkhand 14 12 10
Karnataka 28 17 20
Kerala 20   2
Lakshadweep 1   1
Madhya Pradesh 29 27 25
Maharashtra 48 23 30
Manipur 2   1
Meghalaya 2   1
Mizoram 1    
Nagaland 1    
Odisha 21 1 12
Puducherry 1   0
Punjab 13 2 5
Rajasthan 25 25 15
Sikkim 1   1
Tamil Nadu 39 1 4
Telangana 17 1 5
Tripura 2   2
Uttar Pradesh 80 71 60
Uttarakhand 5 5 5
West Bengal 42 2 18
TOTAL 543 282 310